Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 6.640104e-05 8.167533e-05 0.000098 0.000118 0.000139 0.000162 0.000189
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.317360e-05 7.340864e-05 0.000097 0.000126 0.000160 0.000197 0.000243
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.016699e-05 6.142306e-05 0.000088 0.000121 0.000162 0.000209 0.000267
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.990947e-05 5.122043e-05 0.000079 0.000116 0.000164 0.000220 0.000290
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.282379e-05 4.357955e-05 0.000072 0.000112 0.000164 0.000228 0.000309
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.761311e-05 3.777177e-05 0.000067 0.000110 0.000167 0.000238 0.000331
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.301514e-05 3.181796e-05 0.000061 0.000105 0.000166 0.000243 0.000345
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.011390e-05 2.810509e-05 0.000058 0.000104 0.000170 0.000254 0.000367
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.872800e-06 2.497812e-05 0.000055 0.000103 0.000173 0.000264 0.000387
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.616038e-06 2.120259e-05 0.000050 0.000100 0.000172 0.000269 0.000402
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.900714e-06 1.794057e-05 0.000046 0.000096 0.000171 0.000273 0.000414
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.665351e-06 1.530791e-05 0.000043 0.000093 0.000171 0.000279 0.000429
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.420381e-07 1.034242e-05 0.000036 0.000085 0.000167 0.000282 0.000446
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.892448e-07 9.637224e-06 0.000036 0.000092 0.000184 0.000316 0.000507
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.521330e-07 7.070045e-06 0.000032 0.000088 0.000185 0.000327 0.000535
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.354518e-09 4.930826e-06 0.000028 0.000084 0.000185 0.000337 0.000562
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.427012e-06 0.000025 0.000081 0.000186 0.000347 0.000589
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.393345e-06 0.000022 0.000079 0.000188 0.000360 0.000621
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.469855e-06 0.000019 0.000075 0.000188 0.000367 0.000644
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 9.790705e-07 0.000018 0.000074 0.000191 0.000381 0.000677
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.310810e-07 0.000016 0.000074 0.000195 0.000396 0.000711
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.103993e-07 0.000014 0.000071 0.000195 0.000404 0.000735
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.242360e-07 0.000012 0.000068 0.000195 0.000411 0.000758